Smart Energy Consumption Forecasting

Energy provider with 18% error rate in consumption forecasting
97
% forecast accuracy improved
1.5
FTE saved
9
Weeks implementation
24
% improved peak load balancing

Challenge

An energy provider was experiencing an 18% error rate in consumption forecasting, leading to inefficient resource allocation, suboptimal grid management, and increased costs. Their traditional forecasting methods couldn't adequately account for evolving consumption patterns, weather variability, and the increasing adoption of renewable energy sources.

Solution

An AI consumption prediction system with automated grid management using Akkio and n8n that:

  • Analyzed historical consumption patterns with granular time-series data
  • Incorporated multiple weather data sources for improved prediction
  • Considered seasonal factors, holidays, and special events
  • Accounted for renewable energy generation variability
  • Generated both short-term (hourly/daily) and medium-term (weekly/monthly) forecasts
  • Automatically adjusted grid resource allocation based on predictions

Implementation

The implementation took 9 weeks and included:

  1. Data integration from multiple consumption monitoring points
  2. Weather data source integration and correlation analysis
  3. Model development with ensemble forecasting techniques
  4. Grid management automation with appropriate safety protocols
  5. Implementation of continuous learning and model refinement processes

Results

  • Forecast accuracy improved from 82% to 97%
  • Peak load balancing improved by 24%, reducing the need for expensive reserve power
  • 1.5 FTE saved in operations management
  • €175,000 annual savings in operating costs through more efficient resource allocation

Sustainability Impact

The improved forecasting also enabled more effective integration of renewable energy sources, helping the company advance its sustainability goals.

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